← MVP X RDO Store Championship
Fire SlimesTier 2
at MVP X RDO Store Championship
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.5%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1289
· median 1289
· range 1196–1383
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1171
Q3 1399
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.9% | -21.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +21.9 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
